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Lance Berkman lands on the DL; Where do the Astros go from here?

First of all, thanks to Joe and Timmy for breaking this story.

This is not the kind of news you want to hear heading into another tremendously important week-one that sees the Astros head on a two series road trip against both the Cubs and the Cards.

Richard Justice's take on the situation can be found here.

Of course we're bummed, but this is the hand that fate has dealt us. Where do the Astros go from here?

Edwin Maysonet has been called up to join fellow Round Rock staple Matt Kata on the big league roster. Maysonet did fairly well in his 19 games as an Astro earlier this season, totaling a .315/.356/.763 line in just 54 ABs. He can play all over the infield, and is a plus defender at second at third. He won't come close to replacing Lance Berkman, but nobody can. In terms of wOBA, Lance's fifteen day departure leaves a gaping hole in the infield:

Miguel Tejada, wOBA= .356

Jeff Keppinger, wOBA= .323

Kaz Matsui, wOBA= .289

Geoff Blum, wOBA= .316

Matt Kata, wOBA=.179

Edwin Maysonet, wOBA= .337

Chris Coste, wOBA= .319

Lance Berkman, wOBA= .397

Considering how .340 is roughly average for a major leaguer, this is not a pretty picture. We know that Kepp and Blum get on base at a nice clip, but wOBA tells us that they do so with mostly singles. Kaz is just now creeping out a season long slump, so expect his numbers to rise in the coming weeks. Matt Kata does not need to be on a major league roster, especially one missing their best offensive player. Berkman's replacement, Maysonet, is a league average player right now, but he probably can't sustain that kind of production this season given the amount of at bat's he's almost sure to amass during Berkman's time on the pine.

What could make these next few weeks a bit more bearable? Well for one thing, substituting John Gall or Mark Saccomano for Matt Kata would help. Yes, I realize that Cecil Cooper loves him some Kata because he's got "experience" and "versatility", but he won't be helping at all offensively. As I was reminded, neither Gall nor Saccomano are on the 40 man roster which means they are not eligible to play for the Astros as of now. With the glove, he is adequate at second base. However, the Astros already struggle mightily with hitting for extra bases, and Saccomano and Gall would both offer better options than Kata in that regard. What's more- Maysonet offers a similar skill package as Kata, but is better in most every aspect of the game- getting on base, hitting for power, defene and baserunning. Matt Kata is a superflous player on this roster. Jason Michaels inexplicably takes up a roster spot, and now so does Kata.

I don't want to lay all of the Astros' problems at Matt Kata's feet, but in a time as important as this, he just doesn't stand to help the cause. Perhaps it was fortuitous, a GM's intuition, or both that led Ed Wade to sign Chris Coste. He was a nice story for the Phillies, but now he has to be more than that for the Astros. Expect him to face left handers with regularity, as his career numbers indicate he produces well against them. Jeff Keppinger should remain the designated third basemen when facing lefties, while Geoff Blum can fill in at first sparingly.

Reality has hit Astros' fans square in the face today. If nothing else, these next few weeks are going to be interesting, if not season defining. Mr. Santana will greet them on the other side..

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Comments

40 man roster

Neither John Gall nor Mark Saccomanno is on the 40 man roster. I don’t understand the significance of the 40 man roster. Can either player be called up to the Astros without being added to to the list?

Round Rock Express home page has a nice feature article on John Gall. He’s having a good month or so (based on very limited available facts).

september call ups..

must come from the 40 man roster, as i understand it..other than that, i don’t understand the significance of it either

you made some of the points I have been thinking.

The Astros have low on power this year anyway, and taking Berkman away really diminishes what little power is available on the team. The Astros are headed to a situation similar to what the Mets have been facing…the Mets have turned into a “small ball” team due to a lack of power (with Delgado and Beltran out). I might have thought about adding Drew Locke to the team and see if he can show some power at the ML level. Another possibility would be replacing Kata with Chris Johnson, since he has shown an uptick in his offense over recent games.

Responding to Joe’s question, yes, the player must be on the 40 man roster in order to appear on the 25 man ML roster. I thought someone said that the 40 man roster is currently at 39, which means one player could be added.

Can the 40 man roster be changed at anytime during the season...

Or is it set in stone for the entire season?

yes, additions and subtractions can be made during the season. Wade typically seems to leave a slot or two open on the 40 man roster so that he can make quick additions to the roster.

leave it to sbn to lend a helping hand:

http://www.brewcrewball.com/2009/1/4/703125/the-40-man-roster-how-does

hat tip to brew crew ball

The only non-pitchers, non-catchers on 40 man roster available (and not on DL)

Tommy Manzella
 Brian Bogusevic
Yordany Ramirez

Astros have a spot open on the 40 man roster...

Aaron Boone is on the 60 day DL and doesn’t count toward the 40 man. So the Astros could add someone to the 40 man roster if they want. Wade probably wants to keep the spot open in case a trade opportunity arises.

They should...

Sell, sell, sell.
With the veteran assets they have they could pretty much re-stock the awful farm they have.

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