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The Crawfish Boxes

Wednesday Morning Astros, etc. Round Up

Today we'll lead off with what could possibly turn into the greatest pissing contest in the history of pissing contests (I exaggerate, but just a little):

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Valverde's video

They played it at Minute Maid when he came in to close the last game I went to (against the D-backs).

I love that Valverde video. It’s so over-the-top that it is almost like you are about to watch Tarantino’s “Dusk til Dawn.”

In the interest of accuracy….I should give credit to Robert Rodriguez also for Dusk til Dawn. Tarantino was the screenwriter and Rodriguez the director.

(I’ll also vote yes on the should we bring him back for one more year question…it just needs to be as a 5th/6th starter…not our number three):

Maybe if he spent most of his time in the bullpen or something…

But the problem with Moehler is that:
1) He’s not particularly good
2) He doesn’t spend much time on the mound in any particular outing.

So he doesn’t pitch well or eat innings, and I think you have to do one or the other to justify a roster spot, particularly if you’re 37 years-old and at the tail end of your career.

It would be one thing if he were 10 years younger. Then there would be some chance that he’ll get better. But that’s not going to happen.

I’d rather see the Astros give a young pitcher a shot than give Moehler any significant role. As a spot starter/swingman out of the pen, he’s fine, but not as a regular starter.

I like Moehler

When he’s on, he’s pretty good, actually. His stuff isn’t good, but his command is impeccable on a good night, which he had quite a few of this year. Him not spending much time on the mound is Cecil Cooper’s fault. Coop loves to mismanage pitchers. This is fixed by getting rid of Cecil Cooper, not getting rid of Moehler.

But yes, he is a #5 pitcher, no doubt about it; and if we have to free up his payroll to get a younger, better starter, I would agree that we should drop him. However, we had an awful lot of payroll tied up this year in unproductive, injured bench veterans, and I’d rather start there than with the guy who HAS shown the capability to be productive on the mound.

Moehler has been a nice stop gap

Unfortunately that stop gap has had to pitch 130+ innings that past two seasons due to issues with the starting rotation. He’s not the best option for a starter and I’d rather see him coming out of the bullpen, but he’s done adequate job coming out of the bullpen initially and eating innings as a starter, when other starts have faltered or gone on the DL. He has value, it’s just a matter of figuring out if the money needed to keep him here is worth it.

most likely the Astros won't have any choice in the matter...

Moehler has an option he can pick up, as do the Astros. Certain “triggering events” (I don’t know what they are) would have to occur to allow either party to decline the option.

I thought it was simply a mutual option.

In other words, both parties have to agree to the option.

it’s a mutual option, but according to Cot’s:
triggering events may allow either club or player to decline 2010 option

I take that to mean that either party can initiate the option, and the other party can decline only if triggering events, whatever they are, has occurred.

I'll give a defense of Moehler as 2010 opening day 5th starter

This year, Moehler has been worth 1 win above replacement according to fangraphs, which is the third most value of ANY pitcher on the Astros this year, behind Wandy (2.9 WAR) and Roy (2.9 WAR). On the free agent market (which is what we’d have to look toward if we didn’t bring Moehler back for the rotation), fangraphs estimates that 1 WAR is worth roughly a $4M contract.

His Fielding Independent Pitching the past three years: 4.66, 4.57, 4.63. Also, he gives about 5-and-a-half innings per game he starts. That’s only marginally worse than an “average” starter, defined as a guy who goes out and gives you 6 innings and 3 runs a game (4.50 ERA). He’s been fairly consistent in his production across the last three years, and he’s pretty consistent across games within the season. That’s worth something.

Basically the argument boils down to this: If you don’t give the job to Moehler, who are you going to give it to? The farm is not exactly brimming with young pitchers who are ready for the majors.

yeah, the valverde video is his standard intro at MMP

at least for this year, although they don’t have time to play it in all it’s glory.

interesting timing too

Valverde’s a guy that is very likely to be a free agent next year. Roy is signed to a contract w/ a no-trade clause, but there have been rumblings for a couple years that he might be willing to move. We’ve heard in the past about Scott Boras’s marketing books for his clients, but is this the next step for individual players? I don’t imagine GM’s would be very impressed by them (although that’s just a guess), but maybe it’s to build up support from fans?

Or maybe it’s just regular old marketing.

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