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Passing PECOTA: Astros set to surpass projected win total

                         Div.     Wild    Total
NL Central W L Title % Card % Postseason %

Cubs 95.3 66.7 52.0 10.0 62.0
Brewers 86.4 75.6 22.9 10.4 33.3
Cardinals 80.1 81.9 11.6 6.5 18.1
Reds 79.4 82.6 10.4 6.1 16.4
Astros 66.6 95.4 1.9 1.2 3.1
Pirates 64.5 97.5 1.3 0.8 2.1

Courtesy: Baseball Prospectus

Just thought I’d throw this up there. Surpassing (hopefully soon) low expectations, your 2009 Houston Astros.

**DQ Insert***

Just for comparisons sake:


NL Central Standings

W L PCT GB STRK
St. Louis 81 56 .591 0 Won 2
Chicago 68 66 .507 11.5 Won 1
Houston 65 70 .481 15 Won 2
Milwaukee 65 70 .481 15 Lost 2
Cincinnati 62 73 .459 18 Won 6
Pittsburgh 53 81 .395 26.5 Lost 9

(updated 9.6.2009 at 10:06 AM CDT)

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Comments

Only the Cardinals and Astros surpass expectations

Cardinals added some major parts mid-season that spirited them way ahead of the the division.

Astros still can finish ahead of Cubs, Brewers and Reds (and Pirates). (Query: If Astros finish second, can (or will) Astros fire Cecil Cooper?)

As disappointed as the Astros fans are, the Cubs and Brewers fans must be devastated seeing their post-season expectations shattered.

I’m probably not the only Astros’ fan who has some torn feelings about the Astros making a late season splurge. As a fan, I am programmed to want the Astros to win as many games as possible, and in the end, I would like to see the Astros advance in the standings.

But the bittersweet part of that outcome: (1) Like you say, it might save Cooper’s job, which would be bad for future teams; (2) the Astros’ draft position would be worse; and (3) the Astros might fall out of the 15 worst teams and thereby lose the ability to sign Type A FAs without losing a draft pick.

Houston Astros

When will this owner realize he has to pay for good players? He has let every great player coming up go. I’m sick of the Cardinals and Cubs kicking their ass. The Express is even foundering. I believe Nolan Ryan and his involvment with Texas should have been with Houston and maybe this would change things.

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